Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 111.589791 129.080160 149.922690 177.038384 212.079042 256.873307 320.301747
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 87.914679 108.713754 136.263757 176.955204 238.535993 334.260617 509.709571
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 74.805544 96.155632 126.282414 174.529748 255.947554 402.878282 741.017728
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 65.672133 86.766689 117.928075 170.979271 268.654969 469.280189 1047.741691
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 59.614502 80.611524 112.872290 170.861169 286.665824 557.549748 1571.344649
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 54.983794 75.827461 108.954370 171.440259 305.999390 664.428770 2488.555106
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 49.943814 69.748212 101.918515 164.565277 306.631922 722.789337 3484.667206
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 47.844952 68.060362 101.979038 171.304762 341.875989 928.915380 7825.089129
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 44.281549 63.592585 96.544408 165.649563 343.499274 1017.027830 13488.930561
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 42.146824 61.287998 94.687841 167.207940 365.900757 1233.562941 45330.272665
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 39.705230 58.237178 91.079831 164.162890 373.748734 1397.148257 246509.335892
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 39.223291 58.504053 93.732789 176.090562 435.932882 2080.833560 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 39.574057 60.541916 100.689420 202.217499 579.486988 4761.982485 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 37.398530 57.821431 97.707307 202.097408 620.887079 7141.128029 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 35.270685 54.976631 94.057256 199.148718 648.123598 10441.686832 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 33.282175 52.220221 90.250939 194.838092 666.368423 15249.447056 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 31.791104 50.286120 88.005819 194.694853 710.529925 29303.673551 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 30.499176 48.627680 86.169333 195.397294 763.609435 78533.857137 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 28.767924 45.986636 81.823449 187.072561 748.426278 120170.777384 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 28.159952 45.512222 82.405970 195.232915 868.387816 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 26.762615 43.364882 78.841179 188.383356 860.351122 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 25.941044 42.323441 77.804654 190.268689 936.001898 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 24.897438 40.765204 75.372873 186.586318 955.880713 NaN NaN